Base pick record and the Weekly vs Season win tradeoff

A new nuggets from the CPP community:

@gggg figured out what the base picks would have gotten you this season up to Week 10. How does that compare with your league?

W-L 101-46 Pts 838

@Ironclad posted a chart showing the trade off between going for a season win (Expected Point Total, blue) vs going for the weekly win (Prob of Weekly Win, orange), using the week 9 green Money Pick (Pittsburgh vs the Jets). Basically, you can gain 5% probability of a weekly win by trading off 1.5 total season points as you increase the confidence points you put on this green Money Pick.

  • John

    So I’m seventh place in my league going into tonight’s game. I currently have nine on Pittsburgh but if I went with Tennessee I have reason to believe based on other contenders confidence picks left I could go against them and win the week. With six weeks to go can I afford to take a chance and throw nine on Tennessee? It is a green money pick. Or should I stay with the best chance to get my nine points? I’m 50 points out of first, 17 out of second, and 14 out of third. I think I know the answer to this but I want to get peoples thoughts.

  • Hey John, I put my response on the discussion board