Week 7 Confidence Pool Picks

UPDATE 10/24: Big Ben listed as doubtful, making KC a favorite this week and a high blue pick. 

Week 7 is upon us! Congrats to @TheBaldOne, who wrapped up a money week with a triple blue pick strategy in his 21 team league. My all in pick did not hit again, although Cleveland took the Broncos into overtime before falling. However, it was encouraging that this time if my all-in pick hit, I would’ve taken home a first place prize. The last few weeks I still wouldn’t have won if my money pick hit, which is painful. It may have helped bumping Philly up to 14.… >>read more>>

Week 6 Confidence Pool Picks

Happy Wednesday everyone! I’m out on the west coast, so getting this to all a little later in the day today.

Still no luck for me last week… the money pick would’ve been Cleveland. Hope someone went all in on them! The Houston pick didn’t come through, although it was close.

Base pick score: 70

This week is showing to be a low scoring one, as there are only 14 games with mostly low win probabilities. This could mean a good week to take some chances. Here’s the chart for this week:

 

Green picks: Cleveland (35% win probability, 9% picked) over Denver and Washington (29%, 8%) over the Jets (the Jets have that high of a win probability?)

Yellow picks: KC behind C.… >>read more>>

Week 5 Confidence Pool Picks

***BREAKING NEWS: Andrew Luck is out, Houston win probability shoots up to 67%, 8 base points***

Hello all,  welcome to Week 5! Week 4 had three money picks hit (St. Louis, NY Giants, an Washington), so hopefully a bunch of us finished in the money. I unfortunately went with one of the picks that didn’t hit, Tampa Bay.

Week 4 Base Pick Points: 95

I’ve had a few questions on what the picks mean… if you haven’t checked it out yet, my strategy page explains the idea behind this table. I’m also going to work on a write up or infographic that’ll give a simpler explanation of the strategy.… >>read more>>