Week 8 Pick Em/Confidence Pool Picks

Week 8 is interesting… there are a lot of heavy favorites this week and only 13 games. 9 of the games have win probabilities higher than 70%. The one contrarian pick that sticks out is Arizona over Atlanta (27% picked, 68% win probability). So I’m going to go all in on that game. The Philly vs NYG game is a nice supplemental pick (69%, 68%) so I’ll go up high on that one too. An intriuging game to go all in on is picking Miami over the Patriots (4%, 32%), where if you get lucky and pick the upset correctly you’ll beat 96% of the people.… >>read more>>

Week 7 Results: Winner winner, chicken dinner!

It was a great Week 7 for the Ting family:

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(My dad is a retired Miller Brewing hops chemist, hence the name). This was the last week I’d get to pick for Dad, and it’s nice to be validated. Although you could say we probably should’ve hedged a bit, since winning first and second in one week isn’t as good as winning first it two separate weeks.

For Dad, the key all-in game panned out, which was Washington over Chicago. RGIII led a game winning drive in the early game to give us a shot at winning the week. Carolina, the “no-brainer” all in pick, also came through as they beat St.>>read more>>